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] >>> shrinking deficit projections are causing the street to rethink the program. steve liesman joins us on why it is more leakly. interesting after tepper's comments. >> right in line, the budget deficit increasingly seen as a catalyst for the fed to reduce its purchases of bonds to drive down interest rates. david tepper on squawk box yesterday flagging the problem faced by the fed. declining deficit means the governor will be selling less paper. the less paper the governor sel sells. right on cue, revising downward the fiscal yore 2013 by more than $200 billion from the earlier forecast to $642 billion. that compares with the deficit in fy 2012 with 1.2 million. the fed plans to buy more than $1 million a month in mortgages and that plan remains unchanged at least for now. credit suisse, the new deficit projections raise the sustainability of the purchase. we still look for a tapering with the risk and the small cut say $10 billion come sooner. ubs says the fed could find itself paying more than 100%. in order to maintain a stable accommodation of the qe, the fed would need to reduce their r
back money from the government, the deficit over the next six months is shrinking massively. >> the fed is not reducing its purchase. here ate plan right now for what the fed is going to do. it's going to buy $270 billion in treasury over the next six months and 270 billion of mortgages. and this is demand the fixed income of $510 million. we'll show you supply here and take a look at the next chart. new supply, zoom in here, 142 billion of new supply and no new net mortgage, man a little from fannie mae or freddy mac. their 5 ten bell onof demand means there's going to be 368 billion of cash. if you could just zoom in on that number and that's the number that taper says is going to be money looking for a hope in the market these days. the result is a lot of money having no place to go, but perhaps the stocks, and the fed will be dropping down further. the next screen is the equity risk premium. this is the measure over the risk-free treasury rate. you can see it's already at a historic high now according to tepper's math, this number will go higher which means there will be more return
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